he is -- if rasmussen is correct, that far below 50% because historically the undecideds in the last weeks, indeed sometimes it's the last few days of an election, the undecided us usually shift against the incumbent simply because the incumbent is the one they know the most about, and therefore the incumbent is the one that has the edge in having people make up their minds one way or the other. i know in my own first race, i was well behind my opponent who was at 48%. in the last ten days, i said, look, after all the money he's spent if he's only at 48%, that means 52% of people want somebody else, and it turned out i won. he got 48 1/2. connell: president is 48 in the rasmussen overall, he's up 2. and also up in the gallup tracking poll. >> i would say i think romney has had a rough few weeks here and i think it is pretty clear that the polls are moving in the direction of the president in ohio and florida, pennsylvania, and so on, iowa. but this is not -- this race is not over. i don't think the president's campaign would believe it is over either. but i think that this has been a prett